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Ioannis Michaletos<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n \u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n \u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n Posledn\u00edch 15 let v\u00a0Turecku a \u0161ir\u0161\u00edm St\u0159edn\u00edm v\u00fdchod\u011b bylo charakteristick\u00fdch mimo jin\u00e9 vznikem islamistick\u00fdch vl\u00e1d prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm demokratick\u00fdch voleb. Stejn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edpad byl Tayip Erdogan a jeho politick\u00e1 strana AKP v\u00a0Turecku.<\/p>\n Proces byl pr\u016fb\u011b\u017en\u011b a ml\u010dky podporov\u00e1n r\u016fzn\u00fdmi mocensk\u00fdmi centry NATO, EU a USA, favorizuj\u00edc\u00edmi \u201eum\u00edrn\u011bn\u00fd isl\u00e1m\u201c, a m\u011bl b\u00fdt napodoben ve zbytku sunnitsko-isl\u00e1msk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.<\/p>\n Dnes u\u017e to dlouho neplat\u00ed. Veden\u00ed strany AKP s\u00a0Erdoganem jsou v\u0161eobecn\u011b vn\u00edm\u00e1ni jako \u201ene\u0159\u00edzen\u00e1 st\u0159ela\u201c, kter\u00e1 zasahuje \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 geopolitick\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy, co\u017e zp\u016fsobuje v\u00edce \u0161kody ne\u017eli u\u017eitku.<\/p>\n V\u0161echno to za\u010dalo kv\u016fli zhmotn\u011bn\u00ed t\u011bchto \u201eneo-osmansk\u00fdch\u201c ambic\u00ed. Ve skute\u010dnosti se tyto tendence za\u010daly p\u0159ipravovat u\u017e na za\u010d\u00e1tku osmdes\u00e1t\u00fdch let, b\u011bhem vl\u00e1dy Turguta Ozala, av\u0161ak jejich proveden\u00ed bylo napln\u011bno samotn\u00fdm Erdoganem. P\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm se do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry demontovaly sekul\u00e1rn\u00ed z\u00e1klady st\u00e1tu praktick\u00fdm vyhuben\u00edm kemalist\u016f, vysoko\u0161kolsk\u00e9 inteligence, m\u00e9di\u00ed, intelektu\u00e1l\u016f, vojensk\u00e9ho a soudn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu. Co se uk\u00e1zalo jako fat\u00e1ln\u00ed chyba, nebo velmi \u0161patn\u00e1 kalkulace, bylo vm\u011b\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed Ankary do S\u00fdrie a d\u016fsledky tohoto z\u00e1sahu, kter\u00e9 nyn\u00ed vedly ke geopolitick\u00e9mu zhroucen\u00ed Turecka na St\u0159edn\u00edm v\u00fdchod\u011b spole\u010dn\u011b s\u00a0povst\u00e1n\u00edm jeho kurdsk\u00e9ho obyvatelstva.<\/p>\n Ve skute\u010dnosti jsou Kurdov\u00e9 v\u00a0S\u00fdrii, stejn\u011b jako ti v\u00a0Ir\u00e1ku, de facto nez\u00e1visl\u00ed, a dominov\u00e9mu efektu a dopadu na vlastn\u00ed zna\u010dnou kurdskou men\u0161inu v\u00a0Turecku sch\u00e1z\u00ed jen p\u0159ijet\u00ed de jure.<\/p>\n Pro Erdogana je to no\u010dn\u00ed m\u016fra, proto\u017ee to delegitimizuje jeho status ochr\u00e1nce tureck\u00e9 republiky a nakonec to povede bu\u010fto k\u00a0pu\u010di, nebo lidov\u00e9mu povst\u00e1n\u00ed hlavn\u00ed men\u0161iny v\u00a0Turecku. Oboje bude pro n\u011bj i AKP t\u011b\u017ekou pohromou.<\/p>\n Nav\u00edc obrovsk\u00e1 a opakovan\u00e1 medi\u00e1ln\u00ed a diplomatick\u00e1 odhalen\u00ed, t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se zapojen\u00ed jeho rodinn\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edk\u016f do mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pa\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed, zapojen\u00ed tureck\u00fdch sil do dod\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed d\u017eih\u00e1dist\u016f do S\u00fdrie a Ir\u00e1ku, plus brut\u00e1ln\u00ed represe a otev\u0159en\u00e1 v\u00e1lka v\u00a0kurdsk\u00fdch m\u011bstech vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed odst\u0159edivou s\u00edlu v\u00a0tureck\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti.<\/p>\n Ztr\u00e1ta d\u016fv\u011bry Erdogana u americk\u00e9ho veden\u00ed je spojena se soub\u011b\u017enou ztr\u00e1tou d\u016fv\u011bry EU, vzhledem k\u00a0masivn\u00edm imigra\u010dn\u00edm vln\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 byly vypu\u0161t\u011bny z\u00a0Turecka, a vyd\u011bra\u010dskou taktikou doposud pou\u017e\u00edvanou Ankarou. Toto je\u0161t\u011b zv\u00fdraz\u0148uje studen\u00e1 v\u00e1lka s\u00a0Ruskem a mal\u00e1 d\u016fv\u011bra ostatn\u00edch mocnost\u00ed jako jsou \u00cdr\u00e1n, \u010c\u00edna, \u010di Izrael. V\u00a0d\u016fsledku diplomatick\u00fdch a ekonomick\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t je podpora v\u00a0nedohlednu.<\/p>\n Erdoganova evidentn\u00ed snaha zapojit NATO po sest\u0159elen\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho letounu v\u00a0listopadu 2015 selhala. V\u00a0sou\u010dasnosti je NATO v\u00a0Egejsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i pov\u011b\u0159eno \u00fakolem elektronick\u00e9 ostrahy tureck\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnosti v\u00a0t\u00e9to oblasti. Ve stejn\u00e9 dob\u011b vyz\u00fdvaj\u00ed ministerstva zahrani\u010d\u00ed Austr\u00e1lie a Izraele sv\u00e9 ob\u010dany k\u00a0opu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed, \u010di nenav\u0161t\u011bvov\u00e1n\u00ed Turecka. \u00a0Americk\u00e9 ministerstvo obrany vyz\u00fdv\u00e1 rodinn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edky vojensk\u00e9ho person\u00e1lu um\u00edst\u011bn\u00e9 v\u00a0Turecku takt\u00e9\u017e k\u00a0evakuaci. Cestovn\u00ed ruch ob\u010dan\u016f Z\u00e1padu se dnes v\u00a0Turecku fakticky hrout\u00ed, spole\u010dn\u011b s\u00a0rusk\u00fdm embargem.<\/p>\n D\u016fsledky plynouc\u00ed z\u00a0v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e9ho budou d\u00e1le destabilizovat zemi, kter\u00e9 je st\u00e1le rozd\u011blena na t\u0159i strany – Kurdy, islamisty a kemalisty. A\u017e dosud toto rozd\u011blen\u00ed Erdoganovi pom\u00e1halo zajistit dom\u00e1c\u00ed politiku syst\u00e9mem \u201erozd\u011bl a panuj\u201c, jen\u017ee se jednalo taktick\u00fd a kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fd tah. Hlava st\u00e1tu, kter\u00e1 na strategick\u00e9 \u00farovni pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 neshody takov\u00e9ho stupn\u011b, riskuje, \u017ee budou hlavn\u00edm zdrojem destabilizace cel\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti, a tud\u00ed\u017e se stane osobou, proti kter\u00e9 se obr\u00e1t\u00ed hn\u011bv, vzpoura a nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed.<\/p>\n Pokud se Erdoganovi nepovede dal\u0161\u00ed eskalace syrsk\u00e9 krize, bude to posledn\u00ed vzep\u011bt\u00ed jeho vl\u00e1dy. Tu z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia i diplomatick\u00e9 kruhy st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji ozna\u010duj\u00ed slovem \u201ere\u017eim\u201c, co\u017e je v\u00fdraz, kladouc\u00ed d\u016fraz na nelegitimn\u00ed vl\u00e1du, jednu z\u00a0t\u011bch, co by bylo nejlep\u0161\u00ed odstranit.<\/p>\n P\u0159eklad Messin<\/em><\/p>\n \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/em><\/p>\n Zdroj: \u00a0http:\/\/serbianna.com\/analysis\/archives\/3247<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Ioannis Michaletos \u00a0 \u00a0 Posledn\u00edch 15 let v\u00a0Turecku a \u0161ir\u0161\u00edm St\u0159edn\u00edm v\u00fdchod\u011b bylo charakteristick\u00fdch mimo jin\u00e9 vznikem islamistick\u00fdch vl\u00e1d prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm demokratick\u00fdch voleb. Stejn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edpad byl Tayip Erdogan a jeho politick\u00e1 strana AKP v\u00a0Turecku. Proces byl…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":175,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[23],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/messin.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1442"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/messin.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/messin.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/messin.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/messin.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1442"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/messin.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1442\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1447,"href":"http:\/\/messin.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1442\/revisions\/1447"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/messin.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/175"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/messin.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1442"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/messin.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1442"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/messin.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1442"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}